US-Israel-Iran War News Live Updates: Modi-Trump call on Hormuz; US pauses Iran power plant strikes for 5 days, Kushner-Witkoff in talks; Indian LPG ships cross strait
US Israel Iran War Live: In a significant development on Day 25 of the West Asia war, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and US President Donald Trump spoke by phone on Tuesday and discussed the situation in the Middle East, including the importance of keeping the Strait of Hormuz open, US envoy to India Sergio Gor said in a post on X.
The development comes a day after President Trump announced he was pausing all US military strikes on Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure for five days, citing “very good and productive conversations” toward a “complete and total resolution” of hostilities. Trump said envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff held talks Sunday with a “respected” Iranian leader, and that Tehran “wants very much to make a deal”.
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What are Trump’s five war objectives? | Operation Epic Fury — full explainer
Indian LPG carriers Jag Vasant and Pine Gas transit Strait of Hormuz
Two Indian LPG carriers successfully transited the Strait of Hormuz carrying 92,612 MT of LPG, with 33 and 27 Indian seafarers onboard respectively — a significant development as the waterway remains effectively closed to most commercial traffic. The vessels are en route to India to boost domestic energy supplies.
Strait of Hormuz explained | Indians in Gulf
Iran names new SNSC chief; Modi addresses Rajya Sabha
Iran appointed former IRGC commander Mohammad Bagher Zolghadr as the new Supreme National Security Council secretary, replacing Ali Larijani, who was killed in a US-Israeli airstrike. Prime Minister Narendra Modi, addressing the Rajya Sabha, called for global peace and dialogue, confirming India’s continuous engagement with Gulf countries, Iran, Israel, and the US.
On Tuesday, Israeli Police Superintendent Fadida Yaniv confirmed damage to central Tel Aviv was caused by an Iranian warhead with about 100 kilograms (220 pounds) of explosives. Yaniv, who serves with the police unit investigating explosions, told the Associated Press at the scene that the missile damaged homes and cars on the residential street but there were no serious injuries reported.
Estimated US War Spend Since Conflict Began $120,000,000,000 ↑ Ticking in real-time · Est. $2,500/sec burn rate · Based on RAND Corp Iraq-war pace model · Baseline: $120B Year-1 floor
US DoD Budget FY25 $895B USASpending.gov · Live
World GDP $105T World Bank · Latest yr
India GDP $3.6T World Bank · Latest yr
5yr War Cost Est. $1–4T RAND · Stimson
Filter:
US DoD FY2025 Budget USASpending.gov
$895B
Iraq + Afghan Wars Total (20yr) US Dept of Defense
$2.2T
Annual Ops Cost — Year 1 RAND Corporation
$50–100B
5-Year Cost: Base Scenario RAND / CBO Models
~$500B
5-Year Cost: Full Escalation Stimson Center
$1T–$4T
World GDP (Latest Year) World Bank Open API
$105T
US GDP (Latest Year) World Bank Open API
$27T
Hormuz: Share of Global Oil US Energy Info. Admin.
20–21%
Oil Price Shock if Hormuz Blocked IEA Energy Security Report
+$40–80/bbl
Global GDP at Risk (extreme shock) IMF World Economic Outlook
−1.5–3%
Global Inflation Surge IMF / Brookings Institution
+2–4pp
India GDP (Latest Year) World Bank Open API
$3.6T
India Oil Import Dependence IEA / Min. of Petroleum
85%
Annual Oil Import Bill Ministry of Petroleum, India
~$140B
Extra War Oil Cost (Year 1) RBI / World Bank India
+$30–50B
India GDP Impact — Oil Stress RBI Energy Stress Model
−0.5–1%
Gulf Remittances at Risk RBI Annual Report 2024
~$40B
Live — Gov API
Fact — verified
Projected — research model
Scenario — extreme case
Live APIs (no key required): USASpending.gov (US DoD FY2025 budget) · World Bank Open Data (GDP — World, US, India). Research: RAND Corp · IMF WEO · IEA · EIA Hormuz Brief · Stimson Center · Brookings · RBI Annual Report 2024. War counter: editorial simulation at RAND Iraq-war burn rate ($2,500/sec).
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